Sparta Prag 2-1 Slovan Liberec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
23%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.85
6+ Goals
13%
7.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-13.7pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.9pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+11.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovan Liberec EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
2.13/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/2.02
+9% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
312 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 69%
35.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
22.8 Crosses 13.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Slovan Liberec
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.09 xG 1.38
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
417 Passes 227
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
41 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 0-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
03.09.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 0-2 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
30.04.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 1-3 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
01.03.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 2-2 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEKK
31.07.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-2 HT 0-2 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
28.11.2021 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 1-1 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
2-1
AWAY Slovan Liberec
67% Ball Possession 33%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
488 Passes 181
83% Pass Accuracy 65%
25 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Slovan Liberec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag edged past Slovan Liberec 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 67% of the ball to Slovan Liberec's 33%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sparta Prag and 1.17 for Slovan Liberec.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Slovan Liberec?

Sparta Prag 2-1 Slovan Liberec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Slovan Liberec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 58%, draw 20%, Slovan Liberec 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5
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