Banik Ostrava 1-3 Viktoria Plzen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.51
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.41
6+ Goals
8%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 29% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.0pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +21%
1.33/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.83
+2% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +52%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
Crosses 22.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banik Ostrava
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.86 xG 1.39
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
322 Passes 310
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-1 HT 0-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
13.02.2024 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 0-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
06.08.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 3-1 HT 2-1 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
16.04.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 2-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
22.10.2022 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 3-1 HT 2-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
15.05.2022 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-0 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banik Ostrava
1-3
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Banik Ostrava vs Viktoria Plzen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Plzen got the better of Banik Ostrava 3-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Viktoria Plzen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Banik Ostrava had 55% of the ball to Viktoria Plzen's 45%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Banik Ostrava and 1.67 for Viktoria Plzen.

What was the final score of Banik Ostrava vs Viktoria Plzen?

Banik Ostrava 1-3 Viktoria Plzen in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banik Ostrava vs Viktoria Plzen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banik Ostrava win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Banik Ostrava 36%, draw 31%, Viktoria Plzen 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Banik Ostrava), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Banik Ostrava) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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