FK Pardubice 0-1 Dukla Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.32
2-3 Goals
45%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.59
6+ Goals
7%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
0.94/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.71
-7% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +51%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses 21.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Pardubice
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Dukla Prag
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
263 Passes 276
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
19.10.2024 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-1 HT 0-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
03.07.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag HAZ
10.06.2020 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK2
14.09.2019 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 3-1 HT 2-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK2
22.06.2019 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 3-0 HT 2-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Pardubice
0-1
AWAY Dukla Prag
1.06 xG 1.46
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
389 Passes 206
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FK Pardubice vs Dukla Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dukla Prag edged past FK Pardubice 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Dukla Prag found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FK Pardubice had 62% of the ball to Dukla Prag's 38%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.06 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, FK Pardubice had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for FK Pardubice and 0.80 for Dukla Prag.

What was the final score of FK Pardubice vs Dukla Prag?

FK Pardubice 0-1 Dukla Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Pardubice vs Dukla Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Pardubice win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FK Pardubice 40%, draw 29%, Dukla Prag 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Pardubice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Pardubice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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