Slovan Liberec 1-0 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.78
6+ Goals
10%
17.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+8.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-5.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovan Liberec EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 54%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +13%
0.61/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.66
-35% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -5%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
20.1 Crosses 20.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovan Liberec
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.38 xG 2.09
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
204 Passes 452
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 1-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
18.02.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 0-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
03.09.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 0-2 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
30.04.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 1-3 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
01.03.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 2-2 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEKK
31.07.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-2 HT 0-2 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovan Liberec
1-0
AWAY Sparta Prag
0.67 xG 0.80
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
170 Passes 380
65% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 41
12 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slovan Liberec vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovan Liberec edged past Sparta Prag 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sparta Prag at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Slovan Liberec had 35% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 65%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.67 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Slovan Liberec and 2.00 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of Slovan Liberec vs Sparta Prag?

Slovan Liberec 1-0 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovan Liberec vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Slovan Liberec 32%, draw 23%, Sparta Prag 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Sparta Prag) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ BTTS No
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