Mlada Boleslav 1-2 Bohemians 1905 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
2.95
6+ Goals
9%
9.33
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 28% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.4pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians 1905 EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +29%
1.29/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.64
+19% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 69%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
15.0 Crosses 14.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bohemians 1905
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.48 xG 1.68
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
224 Passes 293
66% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 40
8 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2025 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-2 HT 0-1 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEKK
20.10.2024 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 2-2 HT 0-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
09.03.2024 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 0-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
01.10.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-1 HT 1-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
16.04.2023 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 4-0 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
23.10.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 4-3 HT 1-1 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
1-2
AWAY Bohemians 1905
2.83 xG 1.34
64% Ball Possession 36%
24 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 2
368 Passes 187
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
49 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs Bohemians 1905
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians 1905 squeezed past Mlada Boleslav 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Mlada Boleslav at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 64% of the ball to Bohemians 1905's 36%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 2.83 to 1.34 — the balance of chances actually favoured Mlada Boleslav.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 2.00 for Bohemians 1905.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Bohemians 1905?

Mlada Boleslav 1-2 Bohemians 1905 in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs Bohemians 1905?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 43%, draw 25%, Bohemians 1905 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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