Sunderland 0-1 Queens Park Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.66 — our 31% vs market 21.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.88
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
7%
16.05
X/1
15%
4.04
X/2
10%
12.2
X/X
13%
5.97
2/1
9%
22.45
2/2
8%
10.05
2/X
7%
18.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-14.0pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.1pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+8.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.87/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.41
-13% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
18.4 Crosses 16.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunderland
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.40 xG 1.01
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
358 Passes 318
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
16.03.2024 Sunderland Sunderland 0-0 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
16.09.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-3 HT 1-1 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
14.02.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-3 HT 0-1 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
13.08.2022 Sunderland Sunderland 2-2 HT 2-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
26.10.2021 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland
0-1
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
0.57 xG 0.54
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
383 Passes 280
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 9
37 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sunderland vs Queens Park Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park Rangers squeezed past Sunderland 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sunderland at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sunderland had 58% of the ball to Queens Park Rangers's 42%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 0.57 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sunderland had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sunderland and 0.50 for Queens Park Rangers.

What was the final score of Sunderland vs Queens Park Rangers?

Sunderland 0-1 Queens Park Rangers in the England - Championship on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Queens Park Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 47%, draw 27%, Queens Park Rangers 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sunderland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sunderland) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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