Watford 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 3 May 2025

Watford
1-1 HT 1-1
Sheffield Wednesday
📅03/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Watford vs Sheffield Wednesday Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
2.82
6+ Goals
9%
8.02
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 30% vs market 17.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.78
1/2
6%
24.65
1/X
9%
12.55
X/1
15%
6.22
X/2
12%
5.9
X/X
16%
5.41
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
20%
3.48
2/X
6%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.9pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.9pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.9pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Watford v Sheffield Wednesday — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Watford EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 42%
+9% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +3%
1.39/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.38
+8% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
18.0 Crosses 20.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7

Watford vs Sheffield Wednesday Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Watford
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.45 xG 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 Passes 316
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.11.2024 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 2-6 HT 1-1 Watford Watford İNCL
31.01.2024 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0-0 HT 0-0 Watford Watford İNCL
21.10.2023 Watford Watford 1-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
02.04.2021 Watford Watford 1-0 HT 1-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
19.09.2020 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0-0 HT 0-0 Watford Watford İNCL
02.05.2015 Watford Watford 1-1 HT 1-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL

Watford 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Watford
1-1
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
1.56 xG 1.90
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
306 Passes 286
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
36 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Watford vs Sheffield Wednesday
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Watford and Sheffield Wednesday couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Watford had 51% of the ball to Sheffield Wednesday's 49%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.56 to 1.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Watford had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Watford and 0.50 for Sheffield Wednesday.

What was the final score of Watford vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Watford 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday in the England - Championship on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Watford vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sheffield Wednesday win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Watford 31%, draw 30%, Sheffield Wednesday 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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