Swansea City vs Oxford United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Swansea City v Oxford United — Team-Based Signals
Swansea City vs Oxford United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
Swansea City
HAZ
2-2
HT 0-2
Swansea City
İNLK
3-2
HT 1-1
Swansea City
FAK
1-0
HT 1-0
Oxford United
İN2
0-1
HT 0-0
Swansea City
İN2
Swansea City 3-3 Oxford United — Actual Match Statistics
Swansea City and Oxford United shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Swansea City at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Swansea City had 60% of the ball to Oxford United's 40%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.06 to 1.92.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swansea City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Swansea City and 1.17 for Oxford United.
What was the final score of Swansea City vs Oxford United?
Swansea City 3-3 Oxford United in the England - Championship on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Oxford United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 46%, draw 28%, Oxford United 26%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.