Plymouth Argyle vs Leeds United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Plymouth Argyle v Leeds United — Team-Based Signals
Plymouth Argyle vs Leeds United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Plymouth Argyle
İNCL
2-1
HT 1-1
Plymouth Argyle
İNCL
Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Leeds United — Actual Match Statistics
Leeds United edged past Plymouth Argyle 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leeds United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 23% of the ball to Leeds United's 77%, shots finished 6-25, expected goals 0.43 to 3.08 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Leeds United's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 2.33 for Leeds United.
What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs Leeds United?
Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Leeds United in the England - Championship on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs Leeds United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 21%, draw 24%, Leeds United 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leeds United), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.