Leeds United 3-0 Plymouth Argyle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.16
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.89
Over 2.5
56%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.06
No
63%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.76
2-3 Goals
38%
2.15
4-5 Goals
26%
2.49
6+ Goals
12%
5.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1.26
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
34.5
X/1
16%
3.46
X/2
4%
34.5
X/X
6%
11.85
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
6%
26.0
2/X
4%
32.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
81%
-11.3pp
17%
Draw
13%
+4.2pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+7.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
31%
+13.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
69%
-13.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.2pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
2.10/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.84
-23% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +15%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
545 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 71%
35.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
20.2 Crosses 10.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.44 xG 1.22
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
571 Passes 260
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
38 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-2 HT 0-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
06.02.2024 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-4 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United FAK
27.01.2024 Leeds United Leeds United 1-1 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle FAK
11.11.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 2-1 HT 2-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
07.04.2007 Leeds United Leeds United 2-1 HT 1-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
25.11.2006 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-2 HT 1-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United
3-0
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
1.86 xG 0.00
78% Ball Possession 22%
23 Total Shots 0
7 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 0
637 Passes 122
89% Pass Accuracy 60%
20 Box Touches 5
34 Crosses 4
POST-MATCH Leeds United vs Plymouth Argyle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United swept aside Plymouth Argyle 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Leeds United as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Leeds United had 78% of the ball to Plymouth Argyle's 22%, shots finished 23-0, expected goals 1.86 to 0.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Leeds United and 0.83 for Plymouth Argyle.

What was the final score of Leeds United vs Plymouth Argyle?

Leeds United 3-0 Plymouth Argyle in the England - Championship on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United vs Plymouth Argyle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 70%, draw 17%, Plymouth Argyle 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leeds United), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leeds United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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