Ourense CF 1-0 Cultural Leonesa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.96
No
63%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.71
6+ Goals
6%
27.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.34 — our 38% vs market 35.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
+7.2pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.7pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-5.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.5pp
63%
BTTS No
53%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 43%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -4%
1.21/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.97
+14% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ourense CF
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Cultural Leonesa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2024 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 3-0 HT 1-0 Ourense CF Ourense CF İS3
27.04.2014 Ourense CF Ourense CF 1-1 HT 0-1 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
08.12.2013 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 1-2 HT 1-0 Ourense CF Ourense CF İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ourense CF
1-0
AWAY Cultural Leonesa
33% Ball Possession 67%
3 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ourense CF vs Cultural Leonesa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ourense CF squeezed past Cultural Leonesa 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Ourense CF found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ourense CF had 33% of the ball to Cultural Leonesa's 67%, shots finished 3-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ourense CF and 1.67 for Cultural Leonesa.

What was the final score of Ourense CF vs Cultural Leonesa?

Ourense CF 1-0 Cultural Leonesa in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ourense CF vs Cultural Leonesa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ourense CF win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ourense CF 36%, draw 30%, Cultural Leonesa 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ourense CF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ourense CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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