Ponferradina vs Athletic Bilbao II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ponferradina v Athletic Bilbao II — Team-Based Signals
Ponferradina vs Athletic Bilbao II Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
4-2
HT 2-1
Ponferradina
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Athletic Bilbao II
İS2
Ponferradina 2-0 Athletic Bilbao II — Actual Match Statistics
Ponferradina beat Athletic Bilbao II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Ponferradina as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Ponferradina had 46% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao II's 54%, shots finished 14-19.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ponferradina and 1.33 for Athletic Bilbao II.
What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Athletic Bilbao II?
Ponferradina 2-0 Athletic Bilbao II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Athletic Bilbao II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 44%, draw 24%, Athletic Bilbao II 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponferradina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.