Cagliari 1-2 Udinese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.6
Over
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.54
2-3
38%
1.76
4-5
20%
4.45
6+
9%
23.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.63
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
12.45
X/1
12%
5.47
X/2
13%
6.48
X/X
11%
3.73
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
16%
4.74
2/X
10%
12.8
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cagliari The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Udinese The Market 34%
+9% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +5%
1.47/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.09
+17% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
26.2 Crosses 18.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cagliari
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Udinese
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.98 xG 1.48
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
370 Passes 388
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Udinese Udinese 2-0 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
18.02.2024 Udinese Udinese 1-1 HT 1-1 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
01.11.2023 Udinese Udinese 1-2 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTK
17.09.2023 Cagliari Cagliari 0-0 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
03.04.2022 Udinese Udinese 5-1 HT 2-1 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
18.12.2021 Cagliari Cagliari 0-4 HT 0-2 Udinese Udinese İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cagliari
1-2
AWAY Udinese
1.06 xG 1.46
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
278 Passes 370
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Cagliari vs Udinese
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Udinese came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Cagliari 2-1 away from home. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

From a near-even 35% / 29% / 36% read, it was Udinese who turned the coin-flip their way. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (59%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Cagliari had 45% of the ball to Udinese's 55%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.06 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Udinese led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cagliari and 2.17 for Udinese.

Cagliari vs Udinese Result & Final Score

Cagliari 1-2 Udinese in the Italy - Serie A on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cagliari vs Udinese Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Udinese win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 35%, draw 29%, Udinese 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Udinese) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Udinese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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