Parma 0-1 Como — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 3 May 2025

Parma
0-1 HT 0-0
Como
📅03/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
2.0
Over
46%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.59
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.75
2-3
40%
1.82
4-5
21%
3.15
6+
10%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.75 — our 29% vs market 21.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.72
1/2
9%
24.65
1/X
11%
12.5
X/1
11%
7.06
X/2
16%
5.39
X/X
9%
4.83
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
14%
3.08
2/X
8%
12.0
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parma The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Como The Market 45%
+2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.60/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.64
+18% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +19%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 83%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
17.4 Crosses 16.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parma
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Como
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.06 xG 1.18
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 Passes 383
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Como Como 1-1 HT 1-1 Parma Parma İTA
24.02.2024 Como Como 1-1 HT 1-1 Parma Parma İTB
20.10.2023 Parma Parma 2-1 HT 1-0 Como Como İTB
18.03.2023 Como Como 2-0 HT 1-0 Parma Parma İTB
29.10.2022 Parma Parma 1-0 HT 1-0 Como Como İTB
06.04.2022 Parma Parma 4-3 HT 1-0 Como Como İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parma
0-1
AWAY Como
1.90 xG 0.77
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
250 Passes 424
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Parma vs Como
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Como shaded a tight game against Parma 1-0 on the road. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Como made the difference.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 50% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.59, about 63%.

On the day, Parma had 39% of the ball to Como's 61%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.90 to 0.77 — by the quality of chances, Parma deserved more.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parma had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Parma and 1.33 for Como.

Parma vs Como Result & Final Score

Parma 0-1 Como in the Italy - Serie A on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Parma vs Como Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Como win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Parma 33%, draw 28%, Como 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Como), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Como) ✓ Under 2.5
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