Toronto FC 0-2 New England Revolution — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 3 May 2025

Toronto FC
0-2 HT 0-2
New England Revolution
📅03/05/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USA - Major League – 2026

Toronto FC vs New England Revolution Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.58
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.18
6+ Goals
10%
21.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.56
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
10%
13.75
X/1
17%
5.17
X/2
10%
6.06
X/X
9%
4.15
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
16%
4.53
2/X
10%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Toronto FC v New England Revolution — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toronto FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 36%
-11% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.26/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.66
-14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
15.1 Crosses 18.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Toronto FC vs New England Revolution Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toronto FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY New England Revolution
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.29 xG 1.32
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
378 Passes 417
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.04.2024 Toronto FC Toronto FC 1-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
03.03.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 0-1 HT 0-1 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
25.06.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-1 HT 1-1 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
07.05.2023 Toronto FC Toronto FC 0-2 HT 0-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
18.08.2022 Toronto FC Toronto FC 2-2 HT 1-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
31.07.2022 New England Revolution New England Revolution 0-0 HT 0-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD

Toronto FC 0-2 New England Revolution — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toronto FC
0-2
AWAY New England Revolution
1.13 xG 2.78
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
462 Passes 431
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
31 Box Touches 34
23 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Toronto FC vs New England Revolution
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New England Revolution saw off Toronto FC 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day New England Revolution made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Toronto FC had 52% of the ball to New England Revolution's 48%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.13 to 2.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Toronto FC and 1.00 for New England Revolution.

What was the final score of Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?

Toronto FC 0-2 New England Revolution in the USA - Major League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?

Before kick-off our model rated a Toronto FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 39%, draw 29%, New England Revolution 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Toronto FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Toronto FC) ✓ Under 2.5
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