New England Revolution vs Toronto FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
New England Revolution v Toronto FC — Team-Based Signals
New England Revolution vs Toronto FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
New England Revolution 0-1 Toronto FC — Actual Match Statistics
Toronto FC nicked a narrow win over New England Revolution 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was New England Revolution at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The one blemish: both teams to score (55%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, New England Revolution had 64% of the ball to Toronto FC's 36%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 1.85 to 0.67 — by the quality of chances, New England Revolution deserved more.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New England Revolution had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for New England Revolution and 1.17 for Toronto FC.
New England Revolution vs Toronto FC Result & Final Score
New England Revolution 0 - 1 Toronto FC in the USA - Major League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
New England Revolution vs Toronto FC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 50%, draw 26%, Toronto FC 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.