Wehen Wiesbaden 4-2 Borussia Dortmund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 3 May 2025

Wehen Wiesbaden
4-2 HT 1-0
Borussia Dortmund II
📅03/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Borussia Dortmund II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.22
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
9.77
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.22 — our 25% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.3
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
11%
5.56
X/2
8%
6.4
X/X
13%
5.28
2/1
9%
24.2
2/2
21%
4.09
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.8pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wehen Wiesbaden v Borussia Dortmund II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.37/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.48
-11% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.9 Crosses 17.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Borussia Dortmund II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
158 Passes 532
63% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.12.2024 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 2-2 HT 1-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
29.01.2023 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 0-1 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
25.07.2022 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-1 HT 0-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
27.02.2022 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 2-3 HT 1-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
20.09.2021 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-1 HT 0-1 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
03.02.2015 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 0-0 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3

Wehen Wiesbaden 4-2 Borussia Dortmund II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
4-2
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
330 Passes 302
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wehen Wiesbaden vs Borussia Dortmund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wehen Wiesbaden beat Borussia Dortmund II 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Wehen Wiesbaden found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Wehen Wiesbaden had 51% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund II's 49%, shots finished 19-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wehen Wiesbaden had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Wehen Wiesbaden and 1.00 for Borussia Dortmund II.

What was the final score of Wehen Wiesbaden vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Wehen Wiesbaden 4-2 Borussia Dortmund II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wehen Wiesbaden vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Borussia Dortmund II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Wehen Wiesbaden 36%, draw 26%, Borussia Dortmund II 38%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund II) ✗ BTTS No
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