1860 München 1-3 Rot-Weiss Essen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
20%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 29% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.04
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
12%
5.12
X/2
11%
6.85
X/X
17%
4.96
2/1
7%
24.65
2/2
14%
4.75
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.7pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1860 München EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
1.71/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.42
+5% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.7 Crosses 18.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1860 München
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 Passes 319
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 0-3 HT 0-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
10.05.2024 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 0-1 HT 0-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
06.02.2024 1860 München 1860 München 2-0 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
14.05.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-2 HT 1-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
14.11.2022 1860 München 1860 München 1-1 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
01.04.2007 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 0-2 HT 0-0 1860 München 1860 München AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 1860 München
1-3
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
12 Corners 8
251 Passes 353
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH 1860 München vs Rot-Weiss Essen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Essen got the better of 1860 München 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Rot-Weiss Essen found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, 1860 München had 44% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Essen's 56%, shots finished 17-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, 1860 München had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for 1860 München and 0.50 for Rot-Weiss Essen.

What was the final score of 1860 München vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

1860 München 1-3 Rot-Weiss Essen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1860 München vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Before kick-off our model rated a 1860 München win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split 1860 München 38%, draw 31%, Rot-Weiss Essen 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (1860 München) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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