Borussia Dortmund II 2-2 Wehen Wiesbaden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 7 Dec 2024

Borussia Dortmund II
2-2 HT 1-1
Wehen Wiesbaden
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Borussia Dortmund II vs Wehen Wiesbaden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
8.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.05
1/2
7%
24.3
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1 EV+ ✗
17%
6.37
X/2
12%
5.32
X/X
10%
5.41
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
22%
3.15
2/X
8%
12.95
Value flag · X/1 at 6.37 — our 17% vs market 11.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.5pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Borussia Dortmund II v Wehen Wiesbaden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.56/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.26
+11% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
258 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
16.0 Crosses 21.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Borussia Dortmund II vs Wehen Wiesbaden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
29.01.2023 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 0-1 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
25.07.2022 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-1 HT 0-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
27.02.2022 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 2-3 HT 1-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
20.09.2021 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-1 HT 0-1 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
03.02.2015 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 0-0 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
05.08.2014 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-0 HT 0-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3

Borussia Dortmund II 2-2 Wehen Wiesbaden — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
2-2
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
532 Passes 158
87% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Borussia Dortmund II vs Wehen Wiesbaden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borussia Dortmund II and Wehen Wiesbaden couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Wehen Wiesbaden at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Borussia Dortmund II had 71% of the ball to Wehen Wiesbaden's 29%, shots finished 17-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wehen Wiesbaden led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Borussia Dortmund II and 1.00 for Wehen Wiesbaden.

What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund II vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Borussia Dortmund II 2-2 Wehen Wiesbaden in the Germany - 3rd Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund II vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wehen Wiesbaden win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund II 35%, draw 25%, Wehen Wiesbaden 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Wehen Wiesbaden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wehen Wiesbaden) ✓ Over 2.5
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