Hansa Rostock 1-0 Sandhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 27% vs market 23.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.73
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
21%
4.52
X/2
10%
7.3
X/X
9%
4.93
2/1
8%
24.7
2/2
11%
5.34
2/X
10%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.54/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.83
-12% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
289 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 67%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.7 Crosses 17.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hansa Rostock
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Sandhausen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.49 xG 1.14
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
268 Passes 251
68% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2023 Sandhausen Sandhausen 1-2 HT 0-2 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
04.11.2022 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-1 HT 0-1 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
19.03.2022 Sandhausen Sandhausen 0-1 HT 0-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
17.10.2021 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 1-1 HT 0-1 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hansa Rostock
1-0
AWAY Sandhausen
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
338 Passes 288
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hansa Rostock vs Sandhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hansa Rostock nicked a narrow win over Sandhausen 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hansa Rostock as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hansa Rostock had 53% of the ball to Sandhausen's 47%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hansa Rostock had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hansa Rostock and 0.75 for Sandhausen.

What was the final score of Hansa Rostock vs Sandhausen?

Hansa Rostock 1-0 Sandhausen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hansa Rostock vs Sandhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hansa Rostock win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hansa Rostock 47%, draw 27%, Sandhausen 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hansa Rostock), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hansa Rostock) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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