Alemannia Aachen 2-1 Stuttgart II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.66
6+ Goals
11%
14.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
3.0
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
10%
4.78
X/2
9%
6.78
X/X
10%
4.61
2/1 EV+ ✓
9%
26.5
2/2
10%
4.91
2/X
11%
13.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+3.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart II EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -23%
0.66/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/2.75
-60% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / -45%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.9 Crosses 10.0
4.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alemannia Aachen
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Stuttgart II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
17.11.2012 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 2-1 HT 1-1 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alemannia Aachen
2-1
AWAY Stuttgart II
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
220 Passes 373
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alemannia Aachen vs Stuttgart II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alemannia Aachen squeezed past Stuttgart II 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alemannia Aachen as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Alemannia Aachen had 41% of the ball to Stuttgart II's 59%, shots finished 17-9.

What was the final score of Alemannia Aachen vs Stuttgart II?

Alemannia Aachen 2-1 Stuttgart II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alemannia Aachen vs Stuttgart II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alemannia Aachen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Alemannia Aachen 48%, draw 27%, Stuttgart II 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alemannia Aachen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alemannia Aachen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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