Dandenong Thunder 2-2 St. Albans Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.2pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.8pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.7pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Albans Saints EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.37/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.15
+19% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +38%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
28.5 Crosses 10.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dandenong Thunder
4W-1D-1L
AWAY St. Albans Saints
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.37 xG 0.31
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
335 Passes 164
76% Pass Accuracy 59%
22 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
28.07.2024 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 1-0 HT 0-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
27.04.2024 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 3-0 HT 2-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
27.05.2023 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-4 HT 0-3 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
25.02.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 4-4 HT 0-2 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
30.07.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
01.05.2022 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 1-2 HT 0-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
POST-MATCH Dandenong Thunder vs St. Albans Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong Thunder and St. Albans Saints shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Dandenong Thunder at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dandenong Thunder had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Dandenong Thunder and 1.00 for St. Albans Saints.

What was the final score of Dandenong Thunder vs St. Albans Saints?

Dandenong Thunder 2-2 St. Albans Saints in the Australia - National Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong Thunder vs St. Albans Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dandenong Thunder win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Dandenong Thunder 52%, draw 21%, St. Albans Saints 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dandenong Thunder) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dandenong Thunder) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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