Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
0.71/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.28
-38% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Araz Nahçıvan
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sabah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
04.03.2025 Sabah Sabah 2-2 HT 1-1 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
14.12.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 0-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
05.10.2024 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 1-1 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
02.03.2024 Sabah Sabah 2-0 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
15.12.2023 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 2-0 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
07.10.2023 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
POST-MATCH Araz Nahçıvan vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Araz Nahçıvan and Sabah shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Araz Nahçıvan and 1.17 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Araz Nahçıvan vs Sabah?

Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Araz Nahçıvan vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Araz Nahçıvan 33%, draw 30%, Sabah 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sabah), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sabah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
3 May 2025
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