Velez Mostar 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
46%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
46%
Away Win
51%
-5.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.8pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Zrinjski Mostar EU Bookmakers 56%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
0.37/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.52
-61% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +83%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Mostar
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Zrinjski Mostar
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.03.2025 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
28.09.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-1 HT 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
13.04.2024 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
13.11.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 3-0 HT 1-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
18.10.2023 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 3-0 HT 3-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
17.05.2023 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSK
POST-MATCH Velez Mostar vs Zrinjski Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zrinjski Mostar squeezed past Velez Mostar 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zrinjski Mostar as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zrinjski Mostar led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Velez Mostar and 1.17 for Zrinjski Mostar.

What was the final score of Velez Mostar vs Zrinjski Mostar?

Velez Mostar 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Mostar vs Zrinjski Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zrinjski Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Velez Mostar 25%, draw 29%, Zrinjski Mostar 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
3 May 2025
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