Imabari 3-3 Jubilo Iwata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
18.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 31% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-8.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Imabari EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
0.68/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.10
-56% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.1 Crosses 22.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Imabari
3-3
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
202 Passes 269
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Imabari vs Jubilo Iwata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Imabari and Jubilo Iwata couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Imabari had 44% of the ball to Jubilo Iwata's 56%, shots finished 16-13.

What was the final score of Imabari vs Jubilo Iwata?

Imabari 3-3 Jubilo Iwata in the Japan - J2 League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Imabari vs Jubilo Iwata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Imabari win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Imabari 40%, draw 27%, Jubilo Iwata 33%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Imabari) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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