Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 Zweigen Kanazawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
-0.3pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.3pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-3.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Zweigen Kanazawa EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.24/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.24
+2% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
198 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.9 Crosses 24.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Zweigen Kanazawa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.10.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 Zweigen Kanazawa Zweigen Kanazawa JAP3
06.04.2024 Zweigen Kanazawa Zweigen Kanazawa 6-1 HT 4-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
19.09.2021 Zweigen Kanazawa Zweigen Kanazawa 1-1 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP2
15.05.2021 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 0-0 HT 0-0 Zweigen Kanazawa Zweigen Kanazawa JAP2
30.09.2020 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 0-1 HT 0-0 Zweigen Kanazawa Zweigen Kanazawa JAP2
27.06.2020 Zweigen Kanazawa Zweigen Kanazawa 0-0 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
2-1
AWAY Zweigen Kanazawa
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 8
311 Passes 322
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
5 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Matsumoto Yamaga vs Zweigen Kanazawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matsumoto Yamaga squeezed past Zweigen Kanazawa 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 32% / 38%) promised a tight game; Matsumoto Yamaga found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Matsumoto Yamaga had 47% of the ball to Zweigen Kanazawa's 53%, shots finished 5-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zweigen Kanazawa led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Matsumoto Yamaga and 1.50 for Zweigen Kanazawa.

What was the final score of Matsumoto Yamaga vs Zweigen Kanazawa?

Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 Zweigen Kanazawa in the Japan - J3 League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Zweigen Kanazawa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zweigen Kanazawa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 31%, draw 32%, Zweigen Kanazawa 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zweigen Kanazawa), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zweigen Kanazawa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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