La Equidad vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
La Equidad v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
La Equidad vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
La Equidad
KOL
1-1
HT 0-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
1-2
HT 1-0
La Equidad
KOL
La Equidad 0-2 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Petrolera saw off La Equidad 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was La Equidad at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, La Equidad had 63% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 37%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.94 to 0.36 — on chances, La Equidad could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for La Equidad and 0.83 for Alianza Petrolera.
What was the final score of La Equidad vs Alianza Petrolera?
La Equidad 0-2 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Alianza Petrolera?
Before kick-off our model rated a La Equidad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 44%, draw 30%, Alianza Petrolera 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (La Equidad) went the other way.