Alianza Lima vs Cienciano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Lima v Cienciano — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Lima vs Cienciano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Lima
PER
2-0
HT 0-0
Cienciano
PER
0-2
HT 0-0
Alianza Lima
PER
1-0
HT 0-0
Cienciano
PER
Alianza Lima 0-1 Cienciano — Actual Match Statistics
Cienciano nicked a narrow win over Alianza Lima 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Alianza Lima at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
On the day, Alianza Lima had 48% of the ball to Cienciano's 52%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.03 to 1.22.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alianza Lima and 0.33 for Cienciano.
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Cienciano?
Alianza Lima 0-1 Cienciano in the Peru - Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Cienciano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 56%, draw 23%, Cienciano 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alianza Lima) went the other way.