UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
UTC Cajamarca v Deportivo Garcilaso — Team-Based Signals
UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Garcilaso
PER
2-2
HT 1-1
UTC Cajamarca
PER
UTC Cajamarca 2-1 Deportivo Garcilaso — Actual Match Statistics
UTC Cajamarca squeezed past Deportivo Garcilaso 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 35%) promised a tight game; UTC Cajamarca found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 62% of the ball to Deportivo Garcilaso's 38%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.05 to 0.53 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold UTC Cajamarca's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 0.75 for Deportivo Garcilaso.
What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
UTC Cajamarca 2-1 Deportivo Garcilaso in the Peru - Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Garcilaso win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 32%, draw 32%, Deportivo Garcilaso 35%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.