Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-3 Swit Skolwin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
2.96
6+ Goals
11%
9.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 24% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Swit Skolwin EU Bookmakers 31%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.60/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.55
+0% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Swit Skolwin
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Swit Skolwin 1-0 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1-3
AWAY Swit Skolwin
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Swit Skolwin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swit Skolwin beat Zaglebie Sosnowiec 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Zaglebie Sosnowiec at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Zaglebie Sosnowiec had 57% of the ball to Swit Skolwin's 43%, shots finished 13-6.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Swit Skolwin?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-3 Swit Skolwin in the Poland - 2nd Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Swit Skolwin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Sosnowiec win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Sosnowiec 43%, draw 29%, Swit Skolwin 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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