Olimpia Grudziadz 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.78
Over 2.5
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.66
6+ Goals
11%
15.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 29%
-26% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.08/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.48
-34% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
53% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-2 HT 1-1 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
06.04.2024 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 2-1 HT 0-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
25.09.2023 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 3-2 HT 0-2 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
16.07.2020 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 0-0 HT 0-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL1
26.10.2019 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 2-0 HT 1-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
1-0
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Olimpia Grudziadz vs Jastrzebie Zdroj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpia Grudziadz nicked a narrow win over Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Olimpia Grudziadz as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Olimpia Grudziadz had 37% of the ball to Jastrzebie Zdroj's 63%, shots finished 9-16.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Olimpia Grudziadz and 1.40 for Jastrzebie Zdroj.

What was the final score of Olimpia Grudziadz vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Olimpia Grudziadz 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj in the Poland - 2nd Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Grudziadz vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpia Grudziadz win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Grudziadz 46%, draw 24%, Jastrzebie Zdroj 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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