Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-0 SKRA Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.42
6+ Goals
12%
13.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.42 — our 26% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-4.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chojniczanka Chojnice EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -20%
2.07/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.68
+6% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chojniczanka Chojnice
3W-2D-1L
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.10.2024 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 2-0 HT 0-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
07.04.2024 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-2 HT 1-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
22.03.2024 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 0-0 HT 0-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
22.09.2023 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 5-1 HT 2-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
08.09.2023 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 0-0 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
13.02.2023 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 2-0 HT 1-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chojniczanka Chojnice
1-0
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Chojniczanka Chojnice vs SKRA Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chojniczanka Chojnice nicked a narrow win over SKRA Czestochowa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chojniczanka Chojnice as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Chojniczanka Chojnice had 58% of the ball to SKRA Czestochowa's 42%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chojniczanka Chojnice had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chojniczanka Chojnice and 0.67 for SKRA Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Chojniczanka Chojnice vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-0 SKRA Czestochowa in the Poland - 2nd Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chojniczanka Chojnice vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chojniczanka Chojnice win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Chojniczanka Chojnice 54%, draw 23%, SKRA Czestochowa 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chojniczanka Chojnice) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chojniczanka Chojnice) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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