Napredak Krusevac 0-1 Cukaricki Stankom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.2pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.26/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.41
+17% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
258 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
21.4 Crosses 16.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.71 xG 1.41
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
197 Passes 356
64% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.03.2025 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 2-1 HT 2-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
18.10.2024 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 0-0 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
02.05.2024 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 2-0 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
01.03.2024 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 2-1 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
22.11.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-0 HT 1-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
04.11.2022 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-0 HT 0-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
0-1
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom
0.57 xG 0.92
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
315 Passes 234
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs Cukaricki Stankom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cukaricki Stankom edged past Napredak Krusevac 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Cukaricki Stankom found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 55% of the ball to Cukaricki Stankom's 45%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.57 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 0.83 for Cukaricki Stankom.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Cukaricki Stankom?

Napredak Krusevac 0-1 Cukaricki Stankom in the Serbia - Super League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Cukaricki Stankom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napredak Krusevac win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 39%, draw 28%, Cukaricki Stankom 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Napredak Krusevac) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Napredak Krusevac) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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