Eldense 3-1 Marbella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.43
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.07
Over 2.5
67%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.88
No
40%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.65
2-3 Goals
34%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
32%
3.0
6+ Goals
13%
9.88
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.0 — our 32% vs market 26.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
66%
+1.5pp
16%
Draw
20%
-3.3pp
16%
Away Win
15%
+1.8pp
33%
Under 2.5
44%
-11.3pp
67%
Over 2.5
56%
+11.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
49%
+11.0pp
40%
BTTS No
51%
-11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eldense EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Marbella EU Bookmakers 18%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
2.01/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.78
+22% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eldense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Marbella
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
11.10.2025 Marbella Marbella 1-0 HT 1-0 Eldense Eldense İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eldense
3-1
AWAY Marbella
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eldense vs Marbella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eldense got the better of Marbella 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Eldense as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Eldense had 52% of the ball to Marbella's 48%, shots finished 6-7.

What was the final score of Eldense vs Marbella?

Eldense 3-1 Marbella in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eldense vs Marbella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eldense win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Eldense 67%, draw 16%, Marbella 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eldense), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eldense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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