Marbella 1-0 Eldense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.48
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marbella EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Eldense EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.56/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.15
+14% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marbella
1-0
AWAY Eldense
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Marbella vs Eldense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marbella edged past Eldense 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Marbella as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Marbella had 47% of the ball to Eldense's 53%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Marbella vs Eldense?

Marbella 1-0 Eldense in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marbella vs Eldense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marbella win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Marbella 44%, draw 26%, Eldense 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marbella), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marbella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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