Tarazona 1-0 Real Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
15%
5.23
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tarazona EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 46%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.74/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.65
-31% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +44%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
244 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tarazona
1-0
AWAY Real Murcia
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tarazona vs Real Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tarazona nicked a narrow win over Real Murcia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Tarazona found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tarazona had 37% of the ball to Real Murcia's 63%, shots finished 4-10.

What was the final score of Tarazona vs Real Murcia?

Tarazona 1-0 Real Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tarazona vs Real Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tarazona 30%, draw 30%, Real Murcia 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Murcia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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