Unionistas 2-0 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.51
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.24
6+ Goals
9%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+5.7pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.0pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.3pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unionistas EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.51/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.43
+30% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unionistas
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Merida AD
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 4
22.08.2025 Unionistas Unionistas 2-5 HT 0-3 Merida AD Merida AD HAZ
18.02.2023 Unionistas Unionistas 0-1 HT 0-1 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
24.09.2022 Merida AD Merida AD 1-1 HT 0-0 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
POST-MATCH Unionistas vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Unionistas saw off Merida AD 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Unionistas as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Merida AD led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Unionistas and 2.33 for Merida AD.

What was the final score of Unionistas vs Merida AD?

Unionistas 2-0 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unionistas vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Unionistas win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Unionistas 43%, draw 27%, Merida AD 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Unionistas), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Unionistas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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