Talavera CF 0-1 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.85
6+ Goals
7%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
30%
-5.0pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.2pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.17/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.82
+1% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
221 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
POST-MATCH Talavera CF vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponferradina squeezed past Talavera CF 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Ponferradina made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Talavera CF vs Ponferradina?

Talavera CF 0-1 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talavera CF vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talavera CF win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Talavera CF 39%, draw 26%, Ponferradina 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Talavera CF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Talavera CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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