Basconia 5-1 Ejea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
51%
+4.3pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.6pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.6pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basconia EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Ejea EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.24/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.48
-13% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
355 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basconia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ejea
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
5 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
18.10.2025 Ejea Ejea 3-1 HT 1-0 Basconia İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basconia
5-1
AWAY Ejea
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Basconia vs Ejea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basconia cruised past Ejea 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Basconia as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Basconia had 41% of the ball to Ejea's 59%, shots finished 14-11.

What was the final score of Basconia vs Ejea?

Basconia 5-1 Ejea in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basconia vs Ejea?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basconia win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Basconia 56%, draw 21%, Ejea 24%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basconia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Basconia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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