Fiorentina (K) 1-0 Como (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-5.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Como (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.47/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.01
+19% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +103%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
22.2 Crosses 16.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina (K)
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Como (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.62 xG 0.96
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
335 Passes 256
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
38 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 Como (K) Como (K) 1-3 HT 1-1 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
23.08.2025 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Como (K) Como (K) İTSKK
11.01.2025 Como (K) Como (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
05.10.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 3-1 HT 3-1 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
14.02.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
18.11.2023 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 3-0 HT 0-0 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina (K)
1-0
AWAY Como (K)
1.18 xG 0.86
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
363 Passes 310
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fiorentina (K) vs Como (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina (K) nicked a narrow win over Como (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fiorentina (K) as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Fiorentina (K) had 53% of the ball to Como (K)'s 47%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 1.18 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fiorentina (K) had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fiorentina (K) and 0.67 for Como (K).

What was the final score of Fiorentina (K) vs Como (K)?

Fiorentina (K) 1-0 Como (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina (K) vs Como (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina (K) 52%, draw 24%, Como (K) 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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