Meuselwitz 0-4 Chemie Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.2pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.4pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.7pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meuselwitz EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.42/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.75
-11% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
297 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meuselwitz
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 0-2 HT 0-2 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
09.04.2025 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-1 HT 0-1 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
03.08.2024 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 1-3 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
01.04.2024 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 2-1 HT 2-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
08.10.2023 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 2-4 HT 2-1 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
26.02.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 3-0 HT 0-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Meuselwitz vs Chemie Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemie Leipzig cruised past Meuselwitz 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Meuselwitz at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chemie Leipzig led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Meuselwitz and 2.17 for Chemie Leipzig.

What was the final score of Meuselwitz vs Chemie Leipzig?

Meuselwitz 0-4 Chemie Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meuselwitz vs Chemie Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meuselwitz win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Meuselwitz 42%, draw 22%, Chemie Leipzig 36%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Meuselwitz), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Meuselwitz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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