Paderborn 07 II 2-1 Fortuna Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
56%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
56%
Away Win
58%
-2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paderborn 07 II EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 62%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
2.57/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.86
+119% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paderborn 07 II
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Fortuna Köln
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 0-0 HT 0-0 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II ALMBÖL
19.04.2025 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
26.10.2024 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-3 HT 1-0 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II ALMBÖL
04.02.2024 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 0-0 HT 0-0 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II ALMBÖL
13.08.2023 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II 1-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Paderborn 07 II vs Fortuna Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn 07 II edged past Fortuna Köln 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fortuna Köln at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Paderborn 07 II and 0.60 for Fortuna Köln.

What was the final score of Paderborn 07 II vs Fortuna Köln?

Paderborn 07 II 2-1 Fortuna Köln in the Germany - Regional League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paderborn 07 II vs Fortuna Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 07 II 22%, draw 23%, Fortuna Köln 56%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
3 May 2026
15:00 Hamburg II vs Phönix Lübeck Analysis →
15:00 Eintracht Norderstedt vs BW Lohne Analysis →
15:00 Augsburg II vs Bayreuth Analysis →
15:00 Stuttgarter Kickers vs Homburg Analysis →
15:00 FSV Zwickau vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Analysis →
15:00 Meuselwitz vs Chemie Leipzig Analysis →