Hamburg II 0-1 Phönix Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.7pp
18%
Draw
25%
-6.8pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.9pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
2.74/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.21
+73% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg II
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Phönix Lübeck
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 1-0 HT 0-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
01.03.2025 Hamburg II Hamburg II 1-1 HT 1-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
30.08.2024 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 1-1 HT 1-1 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
08.05.2024 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 6-2 HT 2-2 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
14.04.2024 Hamburg II Hamburg II 1-1 HT 0-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
26.04.2023 Hamburg II Hamburg II 2-1 HT 1-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Hamburg II vs Phönix Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phönix Lübeck edged past Hamburg II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (42% / 18% / 40%) promised a tight game; Phönix Lübeck found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phönix Lübeck led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hamburg II and 1.83 for Phönix Lübeck.

What was the final score of Hamburg II vs Phönix Lübeck?

Hamburg II 0-1 Phönix Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburg II vs Phönix Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hamburg II 42%, draw 18%, Phönix Lübeck 40%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hamburg II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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