FSV Zwickau 2-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.2pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 40%
+23% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +11%
1.99/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.48
+25% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FSV Zwickau
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
7 Yellow Cards 0
08.11.2025 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-2 HT 0-2 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
26.03.2025 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 3-2 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
23.08.2024 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 4-2 HT 4-1 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
17.02.2024 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 5-0 HT 2-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
27.08.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 4-1 HT 1-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
04.02.2018 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-3 HT 0-2 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau AL3
POST-MATCH FSV Zwickau vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Zwickau squeezed past Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 22% / 40%) promised a tight game; FSV Zwickau found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FSV Zwickau had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for FSV Zwickau and 2.00 for Rot-Weiss Erfurt.

What was the final score of FSV Zwickau vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

FSV Zwickau 2-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FSV Zwickau vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rot-Weiss Erfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FSV Zwickau 38%, draw 22%, Rot-Weiss Erfurt 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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