FSV Zwickau 3-2 Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Mar 2025

📅26/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
40%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
39%
-8.5pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.7pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+9.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.2pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.46/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.35
-7% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FSV Zwickau
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
7 Yellow Cards 0
23.08.2024 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 4-2 HT 4-1 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
17.02.2024 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 5-0 HT 2-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
27.08.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 4-1 HT 1-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
04.02.2018 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-3 HT 0-2 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau AL3
04.08.2017 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 1-1 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt AL3
04.03.2017 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-3 HT 0-1 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau AL3
POST-MATCH FSV Zwickau vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Zwickau edged past Rot-Weiss Erfurt 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; FSV Zwickau found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FSV Zwickau had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for FSV Zwickau and 1.67 for Rot-Weiss Erfurt.

What was the final score of FSV Zwickau vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

FSV Zwickau 3-2 Rot-Weiss Erfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FSV Zwickau vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rot-Weiss Erfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FSV Zwickau 31%, draw 29%, Rot-Weiss Erfurt 40%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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