St. Pauli II 1-0 Havelse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Mar 2025

St. Pauli II
1-0 HT 1-0
Havelse
📅26/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

St. Pauli II vs Havelse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
51%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
27%
-3.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
51%
Away Win
49%
+1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Pauli II v Havelse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Havelse EU Bookmakers 53%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +19%
1.35/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/0.91
+7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
266 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

St. Pauli II vs Havelse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli II
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Havelse
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.08.2024 Havelse Havelse 3-1 HT 2-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
03.03.2024 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-1 HT 0-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
08.09.2023 Havelse Havelse 1-1 HT 1-1 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
26.03.2023 Havelse Havelse 2-2 HT 2-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
24.09.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-2 HT 0-1 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
29.09.2019 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-0 HT 1-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH St. Pauli II vs Havelse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli II squeezed past Havelse 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Havelse at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Havelse led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Pauli II and 1.50 for Havelse.

What was the final score of St. Pauli II vs Havelse?

St. Pauli II 1-0 Havelse in the Germany - Regional League on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli II vs Havelse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Havelse win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli II 23%, draw 26%, Havelse 51%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Havelse) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Havelse) ✓ Under 2.5
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