Havelse 3-1 St. Pauli II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 11 Aug 2024

Havelse
3-1 HT 2-0
St. Pauli II
📅11/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Havelse vs St. Pauli II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-9.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.5pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Havelse v St. Pauli II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havelse EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.89/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.72
+3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Havelse vs St. Pauli II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havelse
1W-3D-2L
AWAY St. Pauli II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.03.2024 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-1 HT 0-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
08.09.2023 Havelse Havelse 1-1 HT 1-1 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
26.03.2023 Havelse Havelse 2-2 HT 2-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
24.09.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-2 HT 0-1 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
29.09.2019 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-0 HT 1-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
02.12.2015 Havelse Havelse 0-2 HT 0-1 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Havelse vs St. Pauli II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havelse got the better of St. Pauli II 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Havelse found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pauli II led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Havelse and 1.17 for St. Pauli II.

What was the final score of Havelse vs St. Pauli II?

Havelse 3-1 St. Pauli II in the Germany - Regional League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havelse vs St. Pauli II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Havelse win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Havelse 40%, draw 26%, St. Pauli II 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Havelse), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Havelse) ✓ Over 2.5
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