Freiburg II 0-3 FSV Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
52%
+1.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY FSV Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 27%
+11% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
2.29/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.41
+25% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg II
2W-1D-0L
AWAY FSV Frankfurt
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
03.03.2021 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 2-2 HT 1-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
23.09.2020 Freiburg II Freiburg II 1-0 HT 0-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
18.09.2019 Freiburg II Freiburg II 4-0 HT 1-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg II
0-3
AWAY FSV Frankfurt
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 12
7 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Freiburg II vs FSV Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Frankfurt cruised past Freiburg II 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Freiburg II at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Freiburg II had 53% of the ball to FSV Frankfurt's 47%, shots finished 10-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Freiburg II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Freiburg II and 0.67 for FSV Frankfurt.

What was the final score of Freiburg II vs FSV Frankfurt?

Freiburg II 0-3 FSV Frankfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg II vs FSV Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Freiburg II 53%, draw 24%, FSV Frankfurt 23%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Freiburg II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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