Teutonia Hamburg 1-3 Werder Bremen II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.43
Over 2.5
62%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.4pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.3pp
48%
Away Win
48%
-0.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
38%
+0.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
62%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.5pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teutonia Hamburg EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen II EU Bookmakers 52%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.48/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.31
+8% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
408 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Teutonia Hamburg
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Werder Bremen II
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 3
18.02.2023 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 1-2 HT 1-2 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
27.08.2022 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
23.04.2022 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 3-0 HT 1-0 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
13.03.2022 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 3-3 HT 2-1 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Teutonia Hamburg
1-3
AWAY Werder Bremen II
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Teutonia Hamburg vs Werder Bremen II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen II saw off Teutonia Hamburg 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Werder Bremen II as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Teutonia Hamburg had 46% of the ball to Werder Bremen II's 54%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Teutonia Hamburg had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Teutonia Hamburg and 2.00 for Werder Bremen II.

What was the final score of Teutonia Hamburg vs Werder Bremen II?

Teutonia Hamburg 1-3 Werder Bremen II in the Germany - Regional League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teutonia Hamburg vs Werder Bremen II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Werder Bremen II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Teutonia Hamburg 33%, draw 18%, Werder Bremen II 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Werder Bremen II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Werder Bremen II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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