Altglienicke 2-1 Viktoria Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.4pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altglienicke EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Berlin EU Bookmakers 31%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +25%
1.94/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.17
+6% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +45%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
398 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altglienicke
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Viktoria Berlin
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Altglienicke Altglienicke 0-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
25.08.2023 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 1-0 HT 0-0 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
24.04.2023 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 0-0 HT 0-0 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
04.11.2022 Altglienicke Altglienicke 1-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
02.09.2020 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 2-1 HT 1-1 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
02.11.2019 Altglienicke Altglienicke 3-2 HT 1-1 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altglienicke
2-1
AWAY Viktoria Berlin
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Altglienicke vs Viktoria Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altglienicke nicked a narrow win over Viktoria Berlin 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Altglienicke as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Altglienicke had 39% of the ball to Viktoria Berlin's 61%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Berlin led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Altglienicke and 1.17 for Viktoria Berlin.

What was the final score of Altglienicke vs Viktoria Berlin?

Altglienicke 2-1 Viktoria Berlin in the Germany - Regional League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altglienicke vs Viktoria Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altglienicke win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Altglienicke 43%, draw 24%, Viktoria Berlin 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Altglienicke), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Altglienicke) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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